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来源：http://www.fmscout.com/i-940-Football-Manager-2011-Demo.html
首先文章提出：SI一般于正式版前2周发布试玩版。。。（鄙人掐指一算 11月5日 往前推2周就是10月22日）
然后文章给出一些依据：几部前作中试玩版与正式版的发布时间
[quote]
FM2010 Demo = 10.14, Game Release = 10.30
FM2009 Demo = 11.2, Game Release = 11.14
FM2008 Demo = 9.30, Game Release = 10.18
FM2007 Demo = 9.30 Game Release = 10.18
FM2006 Demo = 9.30, Game Release = 10.21
紧接着前作中的试玩版时间与正式版时间之间关系为一般是2周左右（到底是左还是右）具体情况具体分析 = =
接着文章给出猜想：为啥选10.22呢 那是因为巧的很 那天是周五 大人小孩都放假可以娱乐了 = = 还有就是 为啥之前各大预售网站统一把时间写为10月29日呢？是因为周五？难道是凑巧？作者经过分析与推敲 = =，两周前后找了个周五= = 也就是 10月22日！
10月9日更新：play.com上FM11发布日期又整回10月29日，照这样算的话，10月15日发布试玩版？
10月10日更新：Gamestation也把正式版的时间往前推了一个星期，也就是29日，那15日发试玩版的可能性是非常大的！
10月11日更新：SI给的官方回复是时间没有改变，依旧是11月5日发布正式版！Miles说试玩版极有可能是在于22日发布的下一个播客放出！我预测的点有点远 = =
[/quote]
Many people ask when the FM2011 demo is coming out, and there is no official announcement or confirmation for that, and I don't think there will be any. At some point SI will release it, like they did last year. Miles just said the obvious... the demo is normally being released roughly 2 weeks before the official release.
Let's look at some facts from the previous years and see what is the pattern right there...
FM2010 Demo = 14 Oct, Game Release = 30 Oct
FM2009 Demo = 02 Nov, Game Release = 14 Nov
FM2008 Demo = 30 Sep, Game Release = 18 Oct
FM2007 Demo = 30 Sep, Game Release = 18 Oct
FM2006 Demo = 30 Sep, Game Release = 21 Oct
Every year (from FM2006 onwards, at least) the game is being released in October, with the exception of FM2009 that was delayed for a couple of weeks.
The time margin between the demo and the full release is indeed roughly 2 weeks, sometimes less and sometimes a bit more. I believe the day matters as well.
As I explained here, the game is always getting released on a Friday because it's the perfect timing for having a full weekend to play, either being kids returning from school, or adults ending their working week.
As expected, the official release date of 5 November is a Friday, and with the same logic the other candidate day for release (29 October) is also a Friday... coincidence? I don't think so. Doing the math and going 2 weeks backwards and finding the closest Friday there, I see this:
22 October as the most probably release date for the demo.
UPDATE 9 Oct: According to play.com, the release date for the full game has been put back to 29 Oct (?), so it's possible that we may see the demo coming out on the 15 Oct (!).
UPDATE 10 Oct: Gamestation has also confirmed that the release date has been moved a week sooner to 29 Oct, so 15 Oct seems quite possible for the demo now.
UPDATE 11 Oct: The official response from SI on what came up with play.com (and the rest) is that there has been no change of plans, so 5 Nov remains the scheduled release day. Miles also said that the demo will hopefully be out by the next podcast... which is on the 22nd!! It seems my prediction is spot on so far!
[ 本帖最后由 xiaoaaaaaa 于 2010-10-11 08:26 编辑 ] |
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发表于 2010-9-26 14:34:59
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